Each author attributes this prediction to different causes, however. Simon suggests Obama's problem is...:
You have to stay on message, follow the polls, listen to your advisers (who are writing the message and taking the polls) and realize that when it comes to doing what is right versus doing what is expedient, you do what is expedient so that you can get reelected and do what is right in the second term. If at all possible. And it will help your legacy. And not endanger the election of others in your party. And not hurt the brand. Or upset people too much.
Most important from Obama's point of view is the economy. It is still in poor shape and is likely to stay that way. The unemployment picture has not brightened. In California it is 12.6 percent, while in Michigan it is 14.9 percent.
There are no real signs that it's getting better soon.
So...will Hillary steal the nomination from Obama in 2012? Bethell points out that it is always possible the "Republicans will nominate a dud" which has happened before. Obama could still slip in a second term, however, his poll numbers drop lower and lower almost daily. This latest mosque controversy don't help.
The Republicans need to be getting their house in order. I need to see a leader rising to the top, and quick. I do not want to see the same tired faces.
Do NOT just hand this man a second term. We may not survive it.