Monday, August 31, 2009

Double Digit Losses For Dems in 2010

To borrow a phrase from Jimmie, "you just know the Republicans are going to screw this up."

Polls, analysts and experts are predicting double digit losses in the House for the Dems in the 2010 elections. From Politico:

Top political analyst Charlie Cook, in a special August 20 update to subscribers, wrote that “the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and congressional Democrats.”

"Many veteran congressional election watchers, including Democratic ones, report an eerie sense of déjà vu, with a consensus forming that the chances of Democratic losses going higher than 20 seats is just as good as the chances of Democratic losses going lower than 20 seats,” he wrote.

There are a number of factors contributing to this hypothesis, among them an anticipated lower voter turnout than the one that put Obama in office. After a huge turnout for a presidential election, historically the mid-terms register lower. But, even as Obama's numbers continue to sink like a rock, Republicans don't seem to be capitalizing on this freefall.

I'm sure the Republicans can figure out a way to screw it up. I'm cynical now. And, well, face it - a lot of "Republicans" are really "Conservatives" and aren't so happy with the Republican label anymore. I mean, when you're calling John McCain and Charlie Crist Republicans........


G.R. said...

Some how, some way, the Republicans will sense blood in the water and will shrink away from it, because they'll be afraid the Democrats won't like them. Then they'll back away in the name of bi-partisanship, and we'll get screwed AGAIN!

When will they learn that conservative are tired of the b-partisanship crap. To use an old Army acronym, when the Republicans resort tobipartisanship, "BOHICA": Bend Over Here It Comes Again!

Huey said...

The problem is the two-party system demands that Republicans (a party label -- not a political value system) attract as many "Republicans" as possible whether or not they are "conservative" (however one defines that).

I'd take McCain over 85% of the "conservatives" in the House and Senate. No matter what he says, I am firmly convinced that he 1) Believes it, 2) Will Do It, and 3) Believes it to be in the best interests of the nation.

While I may disagree with him on a FEW issues, I can live with that.